|Number Of Bets||8|
|Return On Investment||28.91%|
|Highest Priced Winner||2.3|
|Lowest Priced Loser||1.73|
|Biggest Disappointment||Celtic -2|
|Best Pick||Ross C v LRose +1.5 FHGs|
The week ended on a low note with Celtic’s miserable week running into mine. The recriminations are out for Celtic’s failure to win by more than two goals (which is entirely disrespectful to East Kilbride) and it cost me a double that would have wrapped up the week nicely.
Both -2 handicap bets failed to win this week and perhaps there is a lesson to be had there. Backing three goal winning margins is risky even when teams appear vastly superior. Although in the case with Celtic I had plenty of opportunity to lay it off when they scored in the 50th minute to make it two goals to nil. It seemed a foregone conclusion at that point so I didn’t even consider it not coming in. My mistake.
Faced with the same situation again, would I back Ross County and Celtic on a -2 handicap? Probably. After missing out on the excellent value of Motherwell -2 in the previous round I didn’t want to be caught hopping again and wouldn’t want to be next time either.
All in all it’s been a good week with a near 29% ROI and not a treble in sight.
The One That Got Away
Peterhead will always be the one that got away from me such is our love/hate relationship. Twelve games unbeaten and scoring for fun a price of 2.9 (19/10) away to Ayr was really tempting. They won, of course, and are now Dunfermline’s closest challengers in League One.
Also, Kilmarnock should have been backed on the plus handicaps once they went out to a ridiculous 11/1 on Saturday morning. It was particularly remiss of me not to do so considering I had been trumpeting the merits of the bet on the forums. It really was eye watering seeing Rangers shorten to 1.25 (1/4) in places and I should have taken advantage.
The Week Ahead
It’s straight into action on Tuesday with Championship, League One and League Two matches all to be played. If you can still get Stirling at 1.8 (4/5) or better they look pretty good for the win in my opinion. You can read a full Stirling Albion v Montrose betting preview if you want some convincing.
On Wednesday evening Ross County play Hearts and The Staggies have shortened in the betting this morning. After Hibs’ stunning comeback people have questioned the metal in the Hearts defence (harsh) but they picked up a few injuries to important players and that could spell trouble. Goals, though, there will be goals.
Dundee host St Johnstone live on the telly on Friday night and with The Saints finding their goalscoring boots again that could be entertaining. There were two goals inside twelve minutes the last time they met. Could be an option for the early goal bet Dundee have been favourable towards.
It’s a virtually full league schedule on Saturday with Livingston v Hibernian live on BBC Alba on Saturday afternoon at 17:15.