|Number Of Bets||10|
|Return On Investment||41.11%|
|Highest Priced Winner||4.84|
|Lowest Priced Loser||2.1|
|Best Pick||Unders Double|
February has been my favourite month for quite some time and it continued apace this week. The strike rate is skewed by the low stake FGS and accumulator bets but the 40%+ ROI speaks for itself this week.
Saturday was one of those days when things went for me and, mark the date, late goals went in my favour. But the goals didn’t flow in my favour on Sunday when Queen Of The South somehow failed to register a goal.
Regardless, things have gone well enough for me to increase my stakes again as I continue to attempt to get back to pre-December staking levels. With six of the seven weeks of 2016 returning a profit my confidence has returned with a winning run and I have built up enough of a cushion in 2016 to take a little dunt should it come.
The eagle eyed will have noticed my twitter post about the Even Money Double and it’s superb strike rate and ROI and the correlation between that and the good run in 2016. It is fair to say that the Even Money Double bet does account for a good chunk of the returns so far this year.
Without it the returns would be significantly less as can be seen from the image, above. If anyone needs reminding the EMD came from analysing bets and performance in the previous year, a time consuming and laborious process that is already paying dividends.
The One That Got Away
I could almost nominate Queen Of The South +0.5 goals as the one that got away even though I did back it and it lost. How? Buggered if I know.
In truth there wasn’t anything that really got away save for the potential for an unders treble that was suggested for people of a sterner disposition
Morton/Falkirk, Airdrieonians/Stranraer, -2.5 goals @ 4.84 with Coral
The more adventurous could add East Fife/Stirling Albion for an even bigger payday.
I have trouble with trebles at the best of times so placing an UNDERS treble was never going to happen, personally.
The Week Ahead
Coming right up will be a preview for the League 2 game at Arbroath and a bet that could have a decent chance, too.
On Wednesday Hibs host Morton while trying to keep their fading Championship title hopes alive. Rumour has it that Alan Stubbs is going to play the U13s for this one.
Hamilton host Celtic on Friday night, live on BT Sport. It will be interesting to see how many of Celtic’s youngsters get the nod. Roberts, Allen and Christie are all banging hard on the door there.
It’s a full programme of league games on Saturday with a couple of crunch relegation clashes across the leagues. Aberdeen and Hearts look to be very short prices in the Premiership and could both lengthen by Saturday.
Stand outs so far are Falkirk at Even money and one wonders how much a rejuvenated St Mirren will put it up to a tepid Rangers. I would expect a bigger price than the 10/1 currently available, though.