|Number Of Bets||11|
|Return On Investment||29.70%|
|Highest Priced Winner||2.55|
|Lowest Priced Loser||1.87|
|Best Pick||Stirling Albion|
The week extended into Monday with the Inverness v Aberdeen match included in the Even Money Double selection. That’s five winners from six for the Even Money Double which is very pleasing. I am not getting all high and mighty with it, though, all it takes is two losers in a row and that healthy strike rate will soon be gone.
It was another very good week with a near 30% ROI and it could have been a fair bit better had I had the courage of my convictions. A number of bets that I let slide also came in and at very decent prices. Unders bets were the flavour of the week despite the first one on Tuesday night losing after eighteen minutes. Annan also let a treble slip by losing a two goal lead in the closing stages and not for the first time this season, either.
Still, musn’t grumble. February has been kind and if it finishes in a similar fashion I will look to increase my stakes back to where they were pre-December. I think I can safely say I have re-found my form. This is exemplified by the number of bets that have crashed in price after I pick them as the market corrects itself. At this rate trading may become a viable option.
The One That Got Away
Morton v Dumbarton UNDER 2.5 goals. All the stats screamed that this was a goer and at a price of 2.4 (7/5) it really should have been. It was one of the last bets I checked on Thursday and I had already invested to a point where a bad weekend would have been decimating. I was cautious as I often (perhaps too often) will be.
The Week Ahead
We are straight into the action tonight, Tuesday, with some Scottish Cup ties and Scottish Premier and League 2 ties. It looks like Rangers are lengthening again following yesterday’s bizarre shortening into a best 1.57 (seriously, people were backing this?).
The main bet I have placed so far is Dundee Utd -0.25 Asian Handicap and that has shortened from the 2.08 I backed it at to a best 1.76. Logic would suggest I should try that trading option I was talking about. Just where exactly does logic fit in to gambling? It should be the primary thought process, of course, but it’s a blurred line.
There is also the bet365 risk free inplay bet up to £50 on Tuesday night and every punter loves a pop at that one.
On Friday night Aberdeen are at Thistle, live on BT Sport. An interesting stat emerged in the wake of their defeat to ICT. The Dons haven’t saved a single shot on target in their last two games, conceding six goals. I would be wary of backing them at 1.8, particularly with Johnny Hayes out injured.
It’s a full programme of league games on Saturday apart from Hibs at home to Alloa and Queen Of The South at home to Rangers, both being played on Sunday and both on Sky Sports 1.
I like the look of Ross County, St Mirren and Arbroath for the weekend and both teams to score has an uncanny habit of coming in for QOS v Rangers matches.