Betfred Scottish League Cup – Semi Final
Location: Hampden Park
Date: 22nd October 2016
Live on BT Sport 1
Aberdeen are heading into this semi final at the top of their form.
Two 4-0 victories in a row mean they are sitting rightfully as best of the rest in Scotland. Celtic remain the only domestic opposition to beat them in eleven games this season.
But Morton are in a fine vein of form themselves. They actually have four wins from five and the most recent 0-5 win away to Queen Of The South suggests they are getting better with every game.
It makes a bit of a mockery of the prices available for this game. The bookies would have you believe that Aberdeen are 1/10 shots to qualify for the final. Favourites? Yes. Hot favourites? Also, yes. But that’s a price I find it very hard to reconcile.
You have to bear in mind that Morton are in the semi final of a major national competition. And they are there on merit. They beat two Premiership sides on their way here and knocked out one of the Championship’s top sides in the quarter final.
The Dons are no strangers to a shock semi final defeat. Nor indeed, is the League Cup. Ross County had a surprise win over Celtic at this stage last season on their way to lifting the trophy. The year before Aberdeen lost to Dundee Utd in a game they were favourites to win.
Go back another year and St Mirren shocked Celtic at the semi final stage. In 2012 Ayr Utd frustrated Kilmarnock over ninety minutes before losing out in extra time. While Aberdeen losing out here would be the biggest shock of all it is not without premise.
I fancy Aberdeen to win. They are made of stern stuff these days. But it is impossible to favour them at the (admittedly drifting) prices.
MORTON V ABERDEEN BETTING TIPS AND PREDICTIONS BEST BETTING ODDS
Backing Morton +2 Asian Handicap could be the best of the handicap markets at 1.7 (7/10) withbet365. That has stake back insurance should they lose by exactly two goals.
Both teams have scored in six of both Aberdeen's and Morton's last ten games.
All but one of Aberdeen's and Morton's last five games have seen +2.5 goals.
Head To Head Stats
Aberdeen needed extra time to defeat Morton in a League Cup match in 2012.
Morton +2 Asian Handicap
@ 1.7 (7/10)
Scottish Football Tips Star Rating Explained
If you must have a bet this is probably the best one available.
This is a coin flip. Likely to lose as much as it wins.
There is something approaching value in this bet. Your call.
Value to be had. Should be taken on.
Must bet. Screams value.
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