Location: New Douglas Park
Date: 22nd November 2015.
Live on BT Sport 1
The Dons could find themselves four points adrift of second place by Sunday evening if they lose to Accies on Sunday afternoon.
What a collapse that would make having been seven points clear at the top of the table at the end of September.
Accies were flying high back then too. They could find themselves drop from third to ninth having being caught up by Saint Johnstone, Inverness, Ross County and even Kilmarnock.
In fact there is a direct correlation between the clubs’ form. It’s one win in six league matches for both of them with Aberdeen picking up four points and Hamilton picking up five.
Both can lay claim to being absolutely demolished by Saint Johnstone although for Hamilton that has happened twice, conceding four goals both home and away.
Hamilton weren’t expected to be top six material so it’s not such a surprise. But when Aberdeen won eight league games on the bounce they became burdened by great expectations. Since then all they have delivered is wuthering heights.
When the bad run started people were saying ‘you don’t become a bad team over night’. That is true but the opposite also stands. Just because they won their last game doesn’t mean they will return to being a great team overnight.
Hamilton v Aberdeen Betting Preview Betting Odds
I can’t possibly back a stumbling Aberdeen at a best price of 2.05(21/20) with William Hill. Not given their form and Hamilton’s previously outstanding home form.
Instead I am going to look to the anytime goalscorer market and take another punt on Jesus Garcia Tena to score anytime for Hamilton Accies. At a price of 16/1 with bet365 it is a no brainer.
The big defender has, as I have oft mentioned, the sweetest left foot in the league. He can stick free kicks in from twenty-five yards in his sleep and takes the penalties for the home side.
You can back him at 40/1 to score first with bet365 and that’s as low as 14/1 with Coral. You can get a better price for him to score anytime with 365 than to score first with Coral. That in itself shows you how out of touch the 365 prices are.
I will have a minimum stake (20% standard bet size) on the AGS price and an even smaller stake (8%) on him to score first.
Hamilton v Aberdeen betting preview free football tips and betting tips
Jesus Garcia Tena AGS @ 16/1 with bet365
Jesus Garcia Tena FGS @ 40/1 with bet365