Location: Dens Park
Date: 23rd December 2016
Dundee put up a good fight at Celtic Park last weekend while Hearts toiled at home to Partick Thistle.
The Dee were unfortunate not to get something from their game against the unbeaten champions. But Hearts were lucky to escape with a point after a miserable second half showing. If this is a sign of things to come under Ian Cathro’s management there should be a degree of concern at Tynecastle.
Hearts were a pale imitation of the powerful and dominant side we were used to seeing under the previous management regime. There was also little of the incisive play on the wings that had been a trademark under Robbie Neilson.
They started the game with one less winger than normal with the central midfield trio reverting to cover the left wing as and when required. As a result their usual attacking verve was absent.
The one constant was defensive indecision. An unenviable trait that has plagued them particularly away from home. On the bright side their big American striker, Bjorn Johnsen, scored another fine goal and continues to look the part.
If they continue to play to his strengths they will remain a force. But with the new management team in place there is a degree of uncertainty as to how they will set up going forward. For the moment it has been more new manager thud than bounce.
Dundee Becoming Hard To Beat?
There are no such variables with Dundee. Paul Hartley is sure to set up with the defensive 5-3-2 that has served them well since he first employed it. Shoring up defensive solidity has been key to avoiding defeat in their last three home games.
Keeping it tight at the back will give them a chance against a Hearts side who have conceded at least twice in each of their last five away matches. Although their attacking impetus means they still managed to draw three of those games.
Hearts last five away matches have seen twenty goals but this could be the exception that proves the rule. Dundee’s defensive make up should stifle them enough to make goals an unattractive proposition. Particularly if Hearts remain in poor form.
Although we do need to consider the potential for the early onset of the Christmas effect. Last year in the Scottish Premiership there were thirty-five goals across nine matches between the 26th and 30th of December. This may come too early but it is something to keep in mind for next week’s fixtures.
DUNDEE V HEARTS BETTING TIPS AND PREDICTIONS BEST BETTING ODDS
Both teams to score has little appeal at 1.77 (10/13) with Marathon Bet. Both teams to score NO appears to have more value at 2.2 (6/5) with McBookie. The same applies to goals with Under 2.4 goals preferred at 2.0 (evens) with Betbright.
Both teams scoring and +2.5 goals has failed in 4 of Dundee's last 5 home games.
10 of their last 15 have seen under 2.5 goals.
2 of Hearts last 5 have seen +2.5 goals, 3 from 5 on the road.
Head To Head Stats
Hearts are unbeaten in 5, winning 3 and the last 2 games at Dens Park.
9 of the last 12 meetings have been under 2.5 goals.
Under 2.5 goals
@ 2.0 (evens)
Scottish Football Tips Star Rating Explained
If you must have a bet this is probably the best one available.
This is a coin flip. Likely to lose as much as it wins.
There is something approaching value in this bet. Your call.
Value to be had. Should be taken on.
Must bet. Screams value.