William Hill Scottish Cup 4th Round
Location: Dens Park
Date: 26th January 2016
Falkirk are the surprise package of the Scottish Championship and shouldn’t be discounted here.
Their previous turnout for a cup tie against Premiership opposition resulted in a 7-0 thrashing from Ross County but they have improved plenty since then. They have lost just once in their last fifteen games and just twice in the league all season, to Rangers and Hibernian.
Since those defeats they have got their own back over Rangers and shared the spoils with Hibs, twice. That’s the Hibs who beat Aberdeen 2-0 at the same time Ross County were giving The Bairns a bit of a lesson.
In John Baird they have one of the most in form strikers in the country and in midfield two of the most sought after youngsters in Vaulks and Sibbald. That form earns them the right to be respected, nay, the right to be considered away to Premiership opposition.
Dundee will need to be on top of their game to see this one out. A major worry for them will be the absence of three first choice centre-half backs. That leaves Thomas Konrad as the most experienced central defender and that will concern most Dee fans.
With heavy rain forecast the pitch, which suffered a major drainage calamity just a few weeks ago, is another area of concern. With heavy rain forecast overnight and Tuesday morning the certainty of the game proceeding is still unclear.
The Dee can find solace in the form of their strikers and Kane Hemmings in particular. He had scored seven goals in four games before Friday’s 1-0 defeat to Aberdeen. That was the first time Dundee drew a blank since they last met Aberdeen six games previous.
They can consider themselves unlucky not to have grabbed one on Friday with a performance that was better than a 1-0 defeat illustrates. That ties in with their recent form too. After a sticky patch in the league they have won three of their last five scoring six in their last two home matches. They have only failed to score once at home in ten matches this season.
Dundee v Falkirk Betting Preview Betting Odds
Having opened as low as 1.8 (4/5) with bet365 Dundee are now best priced at 1.95 (19/20) with bet365, Ladbrokes and Coral. The closer they get to even money the more backable they become but the market is clearly worried about their inexperienced defence and rightly so.
Falkirk are tempting many at 3/1 with Coral and William Hill while the draw is best priced at 3.6 (13/5) with Boylesports. A draw wouldn’t be the most shocking thing to happen in this game.
If there is a draw there’s a good chance it could be a score draw. Both teams to score is best priced at 1.73 (8/11) with Ladbrokes and bet365 and looks to have an excellent chance. Of course the weather and the pitch would be something to consider. A correct score of 1-1 after ninety minutes is priced at 7.5 (13/2) with McBookie and William Hill while 2-2 is 15/1 with McBookie.
For there to be +2.5 total goals you will get 1.85 (17/20) with bet365 and Ladbrokes and that is definitely worth considering. There have been the requisite amount of goals in five of Dundee’s last six games and with a weakened defence but an in-form attack it could continue.
Regular readers will know that there has been a goal in the first fifteen minutes in Dundee’s last eight games. For that to occur again pays 3.1 (21/10) with William Hill and I will be following the trend on that one.
Dundee v Falkirk betting preview free football tips and betting tips
Time of 1st goal 0-15 minutes @ 3.1 with William Hill