Aberdeen v Maribor Betting Preview
UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round
Date: 28th July 2016
Aberdeen might not get a better chance to progress on the European stage.
Maribor will not be an easy side to overcome. But they could be easier than the sides they have faced at this stage in previous seasons. Last year was a difficult trip to Kairat Almaty but The Dons pushed them close. The year before was a near impossible task against Real Sociedad.
As such they will fancy their chances this season. And the rewards for a victory over two legs are big. If protocol from previous seasons is maintained an Aberdeen victory would see them inherit Maribor’s coefficient. That should, therefore, see them seeded for the playoff draw.
While that is a big carrot the fact that a good seeding is up for grabs tells you all you need to know about the opposition. A good chunk of that coefficient was earned against Scottish clubs, too. Celtic, Rangers and Hibs have all fallen to the Slovenians in the recent past.
They have also managed to get results against clubs of much greater standing. They lost 4-3 on aggregate to the Europa League’s perennial champions, Sevilla, in 2014. That came after a 2-2 draw in the home leg.
English teams have fared better against them but they salvaged a draw against Spurs in 2012. They also won one of two games against a poor Wigan side in 2013 and lost both to Birmingham City a few years before that.
But their recent European form leaves plenty to be desired. Celtic’s opponents, Astana, knocked them out of the Champions League qualifiers last season. This year they barely squeezed past Levski Sofia of Bulgaria.
This is a game The Dons should be targeting a win from. They shouldn’t represent a greater threat than either of Gronigen or Rijeka. Both of whom Aberdeen overcame in recent seasons.
Aberdeen v Maribor Betting Preview Best Betting Odds
Aberdeen have shortened dramatically into a best price of 2.28 (23/18) with Marathon Bet. Maribor are available at 3.4 (12/5) with Ladbrokes and McBookie. Betfair and bet365 are best price for a draw at 3.3 (23/10).
Both teams to score comes in at 1.93 (13/14) with 888Sport. There is more appeal in the +2.5 goals of 2.17 (7/6) with Marathon Bet. But in all likelihood this will be a tight affair. Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 (10/13) with Marathon Bet could be a better bet.
I have done well on the correct score markets with Aberdeen’s Euro adventure so far. If you fancy them to win it is unlikely to be by anything other than a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline.
For 1-0 the best price is 7.6 (33/5) with Marathon Bet. For 2-0 the best price is 11.5 (21/2) with McBookie. But history tells us that Scottish sides don’t do well against Maribor and you can’t count them out so it is best to stick to unders.
Aberdeen v Maribor Betting Preview Free Football Tips & Predictions
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.77 with Marathon Bet